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Demand forecasting for automotive spares.

Forecast parts that sell every day and parts that sell twice a year. Each one is routed to the method that suits it.

The app, in your trade's words.

This demo carries 430 distributors and 55 months of invented history.

The demo dashboard for automotive spares: the year's forecast, actuals so far and a chart of actual against forecast.

What the pack sets.

Who plans
Aftersales parts planner
Channel
Independent aftermarket, Authorised service
Sales tree
Zone, Region, Territory and Distributor or Dealer workshop
Supply tree
Mother warehouse and RDC
Catalogue
Parts in six families, such as Filters, Braking parts, Engine parts
Units
Pieces and rupees lakh
Calendar
Seasons fixed to the month.
Review steps
Territory parts manager, then Regional manager, then Aftersales planner
Output
Monthly parts availability and stock review

What is hard here.

  • Most part and distributor pairs sell in lumps. A method built for steady sales will chase the gaps.
  • March carries year-end buying, and April pays for it.
  • The distributor's order is what you see. The mechanic's need is what you want.

Try this in the demo.

  1. Open the Distributor tab and read the Method column.
  2. Compare Filters with Engine parts at distributor level.
  3. Read Accuracy by level. The finest level says how noisy it is.