Demand forecasting for industrial MRO spares.
Forecast spares that move rarely. Breakdown demand and planned shutdown demand are forecast apart.
The app, in your trade's words.
This demo carries 540 equipment groups and 55 months of invented history.
What the pack sets.
- Who plans
- Stores and maintenance planner
- Demand stream
- Running and breakdown, Planned and shutdown
- Sales tree
- Works, Plant, Department and Equipment group
- Supply tree
- Central stores and Sub-store
- Catalogue
- Materials in eight families, such as Bearings, Seals and gaskets, Belts and chains
- Units
- Nos and rupees lakh
- Calendar
- Planned shutdown by plant, known ahead.
- Review steps
- Maintenance planner, then Stores in-charge, then Materials head
- Output
- Monthly stores and spares review
What is hard here.
- Most materials move a few times a year. An average hides that.
- A planned shutdown is known months ahead. It is a plan, not a surprise, and the forecast uses its date.
- The same bearing matters more on one machine than on another.
Try this in the demo.
- Switch the demand stream to Planned and shutdown.
- Open the Forecast Studio. Holt-Winters misses the shutdown months.
- Read the reliability grades. They are low here, and the app says so.